Oct 31, 2022
1. GDP Real GDP increased by an annual rate of 2.6%% in Q3 2022, according to the advanced estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The increase follows two consecutive quarterly declines in Q1 and Q2, moderating some concerns that the US economy is...
Oct 14, 2022
1. INFLATION The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 8.2% year-over-year through September and 0.4% month-over-month, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This month’s 40 basis point increase comes after just a 10-bps increase in August. Shelter, food, and...
Oct 5, 2022
1. INTEREST RATE HIKE On September 21st, the FOMC voted to increase the Federal Funds Rate by 75 bps for third consecutive time to fight persistent US inflation. The current Federal Funds Target Rate sits at 3.00%-3.25%—its highest level since January 2008. Stocks...
Sep 12, 2022
FUTURES MARKET FORECASTS 75 BP HIKE Fed Futures markets are now firmly predicting another 75-bps hike at the FOMC’s September meeting based on estimates from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Following the committee’s July meeting, future markets were initially...
Aug 31, 2022
SECOND GDP ESTIMATE Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022, according to the BEA’s second estimate released on August 25th. The revision shows that the US economy contracted less than expected, though...
Aug 12, 2022
INFLATION The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 8.5% year-over-year through July, but remained flat from the month before, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was the first time that inflation hadn’t increased on a month-over-month basis since May 2020. A...
